MBS Day Ahead: Italian Impact Continues, Helping Bonds Start Strong

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Posted To: MBS Commentary

I woke up this morning to an automated alert from MBS Live letting me know I'd need to hustle to the desk and explain whatever it was that caused the friendly spike more than 6bps lower in 10yr yields (all the way down to 3.0%). The safest bet was that it was something to do with Italy, and my chart of Italian spreads vs German Bunds didn't disappoint. Equities markets happened to be playing ball as well. It's been a good morning to be a safe-haven US Treasury bond (especially longer duration bonds like 10 and 30yr securities). The net effect on the bigger picture for the US bond market is that it sets us up to challenge the important 3.05-3.06% floor (obviously). In fact, it gives us a huge head start for the day. Remember the lessons from bonds 2-3 weeks ago though. As we attempted…(read more)

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