MBS Day Ahead: Pain and Belief Radiating Across The Rate Spectrum

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Posted To: MBS Commentary

More often than not, when I use the word "believe" (or belief), it's in some vague and positive context. For instance, something like "bond buyers are starting to believe again." That won't be the case today–at least not as far as the positive context is concerned. Today I want to talk about the beliefs that have radiated up from the short end of the yield curve over the past few years. They're like an infection that started in the toe but spread to more vital organs surprisingly quickly. The "yield curve" is just a fancy way of referring to the spectrum of time associated with various loans. The loans in this case are those taken out by the US government (via the Treasury Department) to finance all of its various spending. For instance, there are…(read more)

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