MBS Day Ahead: The Death Of The Long Term Trend: A Definitive, Chart-Based Assessment

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Posted To: MBS Commentary

Sorry for the delay on the morning commentary. As you can see, I had a lot on my mind. I also decided to go a different direction after reading the following article this morning: R.I.P. Bond Bull Market as Charts Say Last Gasps Have Been Taken . First of all, you may be familiar with the fact that news organizations sometimes dramatize headlines to get clicks. So I'm not too concerned with the sensationalism of the headline. But the article itself represents an all-too-prevalent point of view among various market commentators at the moment. Namely, that the decades long bull run in bond markets is now over. Before even beginning, I would point out that bond yields obviously can't go lower forever . So instead of pointing out that the bullish long-term trend is potentially over, we…(read more)

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