MBS Day Ahead: Things Are Getting Serious For Bonds


Posted To: MBS Commentary

Not that we didn't already know this, but bond markets have been on the back foot ever since last week's rapid shift in Fed rate hike expectations. This had the effect of pushing yields to the higher side of their consolidation range (the one that's been intact for several months–portraying a sideways grind in the bigger picture). But unlike previous visits to the upper end of the range, this one was driven by overt, measurable events. It wasn't just a range-bound bounce for range-trading's sake. It wasn't just a random move to the top that we should assume would quickly reverse. So far, that assessment is unfortunately accurate as we begin another day with bonds pushing through more upper-limit range boundaries. Those can be approached several ways, as seen in the…(read more)

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