MBS RECAP: Catalonia (or China!) Helped Early; Powell Saved The Day


Posted To: MBS Commentary

It was a pretty interesting session for how narrow the range continues to be in bond markets–interesting both for bonds themselves and for the analysts scrambling to make sense of the movement. Apart from last Friday's CPI data, there hasn't been an unequivocal market mover for bonds. There hasn't been an obvious theme with a predictable reaction. That resulted in the collective Western analytical mindset concluding that it must be something Western behind the movement. The leading Western candidates for drama included Catalonian independence with Brexit headlines being a distant second. I was pretty dismissive about Catalonia as a market mover until this morning, because the overnight surge in bonds (and massive drop in stocks) lined up perfectly with the 4am ET deadline for Catalonia…(read more)

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