MBS RECAP: Minimal Bond Market Damage Thanks to Stocks’ Hard Start

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Posted To: MBS Commentary

The S&P had been idling in place with prices between 2560 and 2600 for more than a week. During that week, we've discussed the risks associated with a break above 2600. Simply put, if stocks managed to break above their nearest notable technical ceiling, perhaps bonds would do the same. In that case, we were looking at yields of 2.75% as the correlated ceiling. Now today, the S&P closed at 2610 and 10yr Treasury yields not even above 2.72%. To be fair, when stocks broke that ceiling this morning, bonds definitely came along for the ride . But everything played out on a smaller scale, as if both sides of the market were suppressed by some larger uncertainty. While there were quite a few brexit-related headlines in the news, we'd be far better served by focusing our attention…(read more)

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