MBS RECAP: No Drama From CPI; Bring On The Fed


Posted To: MBS Commentary

Today turned out to be a dud, thanks to a completely uneventful CPI reading as well as a right-down-the-middle 30yr bond auction. Neither of these events were necessarily destined to shake things up, but CPI certain COULD have (if it fell far from forecast). When it comes to tomorrow's Fed events (which include updated forecasts and a Powell Press Conference), we can assume that there are enough trading ideas hinging on the event that it will be impossible to avoid a volatile reaction . The least volatile outcome would probably be a knee-jerk that ends up leaving bonds in relatively unchanged territory. If that ends up happening, the ECB will be out on Thursday morning to see about getting some momentum going. Either way, the moral of the story is that we've reached this week's…(read more)

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