MBS RECAP: One of Three Things is Going on With Bonds

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Posted To: MBS Commentary

Bond markets sold-off today in a slightly more alarming way than we've seen so far in 2019. This was accompanied by 11th straight trading session where stocks closed higher than they opened, as well as the best S&P prices in more than a month. One of three things could be going on. At face value, this is alarming . The first option is that all of the above is cause for concern. After all, we were worried about stocks and bonds reversing course in 2019 after the strong and correlated move in late 2018. This is the worst case scenario, but not necessarily a guaranteed scenario. The 2nd option is that all of the above is a 'false alarm.' Perhaps stocks are overly optimistic about a trade deal. Perhaps markets are too smart for their own good thinking they know what will happen…(read more)

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