MBS RECAP: The Range May Be Breaking…


Posted To: MBS Commentary

The range may be breaking! Well, one of the ranges we've been tracking may be breaking, as long as tomorrow sees bond markets hold the gains they saw today. Unfortunately, if that happens, it won't really mean that much–at least not yet. The range in question is the one marked by converging lines that rest along the higher lows and lower highs in 10yr Treasury yields (and many other sections of the bond market) over the past 2.5 months. This consolidation range was never going to make it past February considering the lines would have converged before than. Once it was inevitably broken, the best it could have offered us was a preview of the next horizontal level to be tested. In the current case, the diagonal line is breaking right about that same time that yields are already arriving…(read more)

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