Mortgage Rates Miraculously Flat Despite Massively Lower Treasury Yields

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Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage rates were unchanged to slightly higher today–a claim that utterly boggles the mind of anyone who thought they understood the relationship between bond markets and the mortgage world. ALMOST without fail, a big drop in 10yr Treasury yields will coincide with lower mortgage rates. In fact, many people believe (albeit incorrectly) that mortgage rates are based on the 10yr yield. But today, despite a substantial drop in Treasury yields, mortgage rates are stuck in the mud. Since this could continue to be the case, I’m going to include the following brief statement/reminder until the situation subsides: A note on mortgage rates not improving even when 10yr yields are falling: Mortgages and the bonds that underlie them (MBS) are subject to one major uncertainty that doesn’t affect US Treasuries…(read more)

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